ChrisW
member
Joined: 01/07/03
Posts: 26
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Save Sibelius campaign
#998969 - 20/07/12 02:35 PM
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A campaign has been launched to try to save the Sibelius UK office and hence Sibelius
itself. Avid has announced the closure of the UK office, the home of Sibelius's main
creative and technical talent. Details and a chance to join the fight are at:- http://www.facebook.com/SaveSibelius
-------------------- iMac 24" 3.06Ghz 4GB RAM, Mac OS X (10.6.6), Apogee Duet, Frontier AlphaTrack, Yamaha S90, Logic Studio 9, Cubase 6, Sibelius 6
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Kwackman
Joined: 07/11/02
Posts: 1245
Loc: Belfast
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#998992 - 20/07/12 03:54 PM
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I've still not forgiven Avid for the demise of Audiovision many years ago. Good luck
with your campaign.
-------------------- Cubase, guitars.
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Tui
active member
Joined: 02/09/02
Posts: 3214
Loc: Chiang Mai, Thailand
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#999043 - 20/07/12 09:13 PM
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What a "coincidence" - as a registered user of Sibelius, I just received an email from
Avid with a survey about customer satisfaction.
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Kevin Nolan
member
Joined: 12/01/03
Posts: 609
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#999370 - 23/07/12 01:25 PM
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Quote ChrisW:
A campaign has been
launched to try to save the Sibelius UK office and hence Sibelius itself. Avid has
announced the closure of the UK office, the home of Sibelius's main creative and technical
talent. Details and a chance to join the fight are at:-
http://www.facebook.com/SaveSibelius
I empathize, but there is no
correlation between the UK office closing and Sibelius itself going under. In fact the
opposite could be argued - it looks like they are moving to the Ukraine and hence it's a
cost cutting exercise that will surely help the survival of the company?
One
can argue the rights and wrongs of that move, but it seems to be a fact of life these days
that technically advanced jobs are now also moving eastwards.
And - even you
(and us all) are party to this - we are all typing and working away on Apple computers (or
PCs) manufactured in China. What call was there to save those manufacturing jobs in the UK
and elsewhere?
The bottom line is that even you (and all of us) are not
prepared to pay for the cost of technology and other goods made in the UK and other such
western countries, and hence AVID / Sibelius surely have no choice on this.
Kevin.
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buggymusic
member
Joined: 30/09/02
Posts: 234
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: Kevin Nolan]
#999375 - 23/07/12 01:51 PM
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side issue - Avid have ditched AIR althogether who were responsible for their best tools
for the past 5 years including Velvet, Strike, Structure, Hybrid, Expand and many useful
effects plug-ins I think they are being picked up by someone else now, however, does not bode well
for PT
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Kevin Nolan
member
Joined: 12/01/03
Posts: 609
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#1001688 - 03/08/12 09:48 PM
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Actually -
From what I've picked up today (from what I'd believe to be a
reliable source embedded in the music industry); this is now not a Sibelius UK issue -
AVID have shut down Sibelius, in totality, lock-stock and barrel!
If the
case, this is going to affect an awful lot of active, working musicians before long.
And, might this be an indicator of AVID in trouble in general - they recently
jettisoned their M-Audio brand too? So what does this say for the future of Pro-Tools? At
a minimum, the negative publicity from this is surely going to affect AVID in an earnest
if not grave way?
Can anyone confirm this?
Kevin.
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BJG145
Joined: 06/08/05
Posts: 2163
Loc: Norwich UK
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#1001723 - 04/08/12 09:27 AM
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Given that Avid's vice-president announced that the company was "deeply committed to
developing Sibelius" just two weeks ago, that sounds unlikely. http://community.avid.com/blogs/avid/archive/2012/07/23/avids-commitment-t
o-sibelius.aspx?CommentPosted=true#
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The Red Bladder
Joined: 05/06/07
Posts: 2072
Loc: . ...
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#1001729 - 04/08/12 10:03 AM
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Imagine you are a businessman based in, say, San Francisco and you specialise in high tech
investments. One of these investments is a company that has been growing for some 20
years, but in all that time, had never made a profit. It has all kinds of amazing IP and
several interesting product lines that, given better management, would be making a
thumping profit. But the company is totally top-heavy with expensive engineers working
from expensive locations around the World.
This company is a real basket case.
Some 40+ product lines, many of which actually compete with one another are produced in
different buildings all over America and all these bits and pieces are the result of
acquisitions made ages ago and are loaded with idiotic conditions about continued
employment and commitment to locations and that sort of thing. As much as it is an obvious
candidate for a Steve Jobs style 'Business 101' - dumping, streamlining and closing down
plant is going to be difficult.
Some of your other investments are conveniently
off base, in places like China, India, Canada, the Ukraine and via the opaque curtain of
multiple private equity companies. And you have friends who live nearby and who are also
invested in this company, though not as deeply. You meet, you talk shop. What do we do
about this stinking heap of losses?
"But it's got some great IP!" says one of
your fellow investors. "That's why I'm in it. That IP has to come up trumps one of these
days. Taken as a heap of losses, that company ain't worth squat, but pull out the IP and
capitalize it and you've really got something!" says one of your buddies.
So
you and your friends get a big study done of the market this turkey is in and you rake
over the company inch-by-inch to see just what's in there and what all those brand names
and technical IP could be worth in the long run.
Nine months and few million
dollars later, the answer comes back - it's like a two-year-old Mercedes in a chop-shop.
Up and running, it is just a money-losing liability. Rip it to bits and sell off the parts
to your off-base investments that need those patents, brands and software to get where you
want them to go and you can realise many times the sticker price in the long run.
So you all get together and decide which bits of the company could be sold off to other
businesses that you are involved with and which bits could be left in the main company as
it inevitably loses value. Once the core company is a mere shadow of its former self, you
plan on taking it into one of your PE holdings at a trash price, where the true value of
all that IP will get realised. The beauty of this scheme is, you can run down the company,
dump all the employees without having pay them too much separation or compensation and do
all this largely at the expense of all the other shareholders.
All the time,
you are buying little bits of this company on the many troughs in price. Bit by little
bit, you have one-fifth of the whole company at a small fraction of the value of the IP.
You even get the CFO to inflate the goodwill value to nearly half the total cap, so that
the company looks even more like an inflated balloon, ready to nose-dive.
All
this is of course, illegal. It's insider trading, taking a good, solid company that could
have been turned around and stripping it right down and selling the assets at rock-bottom
prices to enhance their value and depress the value of the core company and all at massive
cost to all the other shareholders. We have to be careful.
The old CEO gets
fired of course, but we need just the right man to take his place. He has to look and
sound just the right amount of dumb, without actually being dumb. He has to understand the
technology to his fingertips and at the same time, be a master at changing the very
structure of a company, whilst making it look as if he is trying to turn it around. We
need someone we can trust. Someone who has done this kind of thing before.
We
find just the right man. He has moved tech companies from PE to the market and taken
listed companies into private equity. He has even taken large spin-offs from big, listed
corporations and put them into PEs that we are deeply involved with. He is already tied to
us in so many ways and he knows how to make all the right noises and appear just a little
dumb at the same time. He is perfect.
He takes over with the stock at $35 and
(after a few carefully bungled CNBC interviews, trying to explain why this company still
makes a loss) it is happily bumping along the bottom at $10. Once the stock goes right
down and we have paired off a few choice bits, we well soon be able to take the core
company into a private equity buy-out at some rock-bottom price.
Now that would
be a plan, don't you think?
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Kwackman
Joined: 07/11/02
Posts: 1245
Loc: Belfast
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: BJG145]
#1001736 - 04/08/12 11:01 AM
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Quote BJG145:
Given that Avid's
vice-president announced that the company was "deeply committed to developing Sibelius"
just two weeks ago, that sounds unlikely.
http://community.avid.com/blogs/avid/archive/2012/07/23/avids-commitment-t
o-sibelius.aspx?CommentPosted=true#
The statement in that link is a good example of marketing and
management bluff. No where in that statement does it say that Sibelius has a secure
future. It almost implies it might be merged into something else, but as usual in
these PR things, nothing is clear. It's a bit like the Prime Minister saying "Mr/Mrs
X has my full support" after Mr/MrsX has been accused of some dodgy going ons. Usually
there's a resignation along in a few days!
-------------------- Cubase, guitars.
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Kevin Nolan
member
Joined: 12/01/03
Posts: 609
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#1001745 - 04/08/12 11:47 AM
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@ The Red Bladder: You lost me about 1/4 way into your post - haven't a clue what you're
point is! Though, suggest keeping the more general debate to a minimum and try to add
weight / clarity to the issue to see if we who use Sibelius can add a voice to keep it
going - if it's actually in peril?
FYI, I heard of the demise of Sibelius
from one of Hollywood's top orchestrators - and I mean - _very_ top. If he's prepared to
broadcast that he's heard of the demise of Sibelius, it's very concerning...
Can anyone in the field corroborate this?
SOS - what are your journalistic
sources telling you? Surely SOS should be acutely tracking this ??
Kevin.
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Exalted Wombat
Joined: 06/02/10
Posts: 4220
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: Kevin Nolan]
#1001750 - 04/08/12 12:09 PM
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Sibelius hasn't died. Avid have closed the London office. Any assumption that a few key
employees aren't still on the payroll may be mistaken. Avid say they intend to run
Sibelius the same way they run ProTools, management at the California head office,
software engineering outsourced to the Ukraine.
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Kevin Nolan
member
Joined: 12/01/03
Posts: 609
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: Exalted Wombat]
#1001755 - 04/08/12 12:13 PM
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That's NOT the story circulating around the US as of yesterday (and hence trying here to
have the complete shutdown verified, or not).
Kevin.
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BJG145
Joined: 06/08/05
Posts: 2163
Loc: Norwich UK
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#1001756 - 04/08/12 12:18 PM
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By "complete shutdown", you mean ceasing development...? There's plenty of
rumours/scaremongering, eg:
http://www.artsjournal.com/slippeddisc/2012/08/at-sibelius-software-the-la
st-staff-turn-out-the-lights.html
...but I don't see how anything other
than an official announcement from Avid themselves could confirm what their plans are, and
I don't think that's going to happen. Even the above pessimist gives it four years. I
reckon we'll just have to wait and see.
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mosso
Joined: 10/07/08
Posts: 104
Loc: Nodnol
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: BJG145]
#1001766 - 04/08/12 02:10 PM
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The problem with this situation is that the entire UK office (the last office) and all the
development staff have been fired. These are the only people with in-depth knowledge of
the codebase since day one. So, when they say they will outsource development to Ukraine
they mean handing it over to software engineers who know nothing about the finer points of
it's coding history. It's said (by the Finn brothers who founded the software)
Sibelius is a profit making division within Avid, which is why they are so reluctant to
let it go. However by doing this kind of complete gutting of all of the development staff
they are pretty much guaranteeing that the next version of Sib, whenever it arrives, will
be a strange botch-potch of the code done by the UK staff before they left and the new
engineers attempts to get to grips with it. It's hard to imagine that development will not
be hugely impacted in a negative way. So, Sibelius makes as profit - it's just
that for Avid they don't make enough profit. In the last 2 years the Avid CEO's pay has
gone from $1.2m to $4.8m - if they're all about cost-cutting maybe they should take a look
at that.
-------------------- www.mosso.co.uk
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The Red Bladder
Joined: 05/06/07
Posts: 2072
Loc: . ...
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: Kevin Nolan]
#1001767 - 04/08/12 02:19 PM
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Quote Kevin Nolan:
@ The Red
Bladder: You lost me about 1/4 way into your post - haven't a clue what you're point is!
Though, suggest keeping the more general debate to a minimum and try to add weight /
clarity to the issue to see if we who use Sibelius can add a voice to keep it going - if
it's actually in peril?
I've
been as clear as would be prudent. If you REALLY want to know what is to happen to Avid,
take a look at who owns it and then take a look at what they have done with similar
companies in the past and who the CEO, CFO etc. were who implemented this and what the
current officers of Avid did in the past. Then go back and reread what I have written.
Sibelius is not a company, there are no employees and is now just IP.
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Exalted Wombat
Joined: 06/02/10
Posts: 4220
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: The Red Bladder]
#1001775 - 04/08/12 03:40 PM
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Quote The Red Bladder:
Sibelius
is not a company, there are no employees and is now just IP.
You remain slightly (but critically)
misinformed.
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desmond
Joined: 10/01/06
Posts: 7903
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: Exalted Wombat]
#1001917 - 06/08/12 12:36 AM
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Exalted Wombat
Joined: 06/02/10
Posts: 4220
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: desmond]
#1001951 - 06/08/12 10:09 AM
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Quote desmond:
Some info here: http://www.artsjournal.com/slippeddisc/2012/08/at-sibelius-software-the-la
st-staff-turn-out-the-lights.html
"The software has been put in deep-freeze by its owners,
Avid,..."
It's no more in deep-freeze than it was this time last week.
The support for Sibelius and Daniel Spreadbury's team is most impressive, but I'm afraid
the campaign is terribly badly focussed.
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johnny h
Joined: 24/07/06
Posts: 2270
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: Exalted Wombat]
#1001955 - 06/08/12 10:23 AM
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Quote Exalted Wombat:
Quote desmond:
Some info
here: http://www.artsjournal.com/slippeddisc/2012/08/at-sibelius-software-the-la
st-staff-turn-out-the-lights.html
"The software has been put in deep-freeze by its owners,
Avid,..."
It's no more in deep-freeze than it was this time last week.
The support for Sibelius and Daniel Spreadbury's team is most impressive, but I'm afraid
the campaign is terribly badly focussed.
What's your evidence? And how is it stronger than statements released
by the Finn brothers?
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Exalted Wombat
Joined: 06/02/10
Posts: 4220
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: johnny h]
#1001971 - 06/08/12 12:06 PM
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Quote johnny h:
Quote Exalted Wombat:
Quote desmond:
Some info
here:
http://www.artsjournal.com/slippeddisc/2012/08/at-sibelius-software-the-la
st-staff-turn-out-the-lights.html
"The software has been put in deep-freeze by its owners,
Avid,..."
It's no more in deep-freeze than it was this time last week.
The support for Sibelius and Daniel Spreadbury's team is most impressive, but I'm
afraid the campaign is terribly badly focussed.
What's your evidence? And how is it stronger than statements released
by the Finn brothers?
A
lot of the "evidence" we're seeing is pure supposition.
There have been
precious few statements from the Finns (who, after all, got Sibelius into this mess in the
first place by cashing in in 2006), Avid or the London office. The Finns have supported
Daniel and his team, but can only guess how Avis will use Sibelius. Avid have said they
intend to treat Sibelius the same way they did ProTools. You may or may not like the way
that program has developed, but it wasn't abandoned or put into "deep freeze".
Information on what is happening in Finsbury Park (and had been happening gradually for
some time - last week was only the latest "cut") has not been publicly posted, but was
easy enough to get by more informal means. It seems that some campaign leaders either
didn't bother to ask, or find reality not dramatic enough for their purposes. A great
deal is being made of a "leak" which seems to have been misread by the very few who saw
it.
Sibelius became a corporate asset six years ago when the Finns took the
money and walked away. It's still an asset. It might get bought and sold a few more
times. Cubase survived. Logic partially survived, but at the cost of dumping most of its
potential users. Maybe Sibelius will become a feature of ProTools. If Avid (or another
owner) see a continuing market for a stand-alone version, doubtless one will be provided.
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The Red Bladder
Joined: 05/06/07
Posts: 2072
Loc: . ...
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: Exalted Wombat]
#1001989 - 06/08/12 01:51 PM
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Quote Exalted Wombat:
Quote The Red Bladder:
Sibelius
is not a company, there are no employees and is now just IP.
You remain slightly (but critically)
misinformed.
Sorry, you've
lost me! Avid themselves have announced that they have closed all the back-office
functions, leaving just the front-office functions within Avid to maintain turnover.
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johnny h
Joined: 24/07/06
Posts: 2270
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: Exalted Wombat]
#1001995 - 06/08/12 02:34 PM
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Quote Exalted Wombat:
Quote johnny h:
Quote Exalted Wombat:
Quote desmond:
Some info
here: http://www.artsjournal.com/slippeddisc/2012/08/at-sibelius-software-the-la
st-staff-turn-out-the-lights.html
"The software has been put in deep-freeze by its owners,
Avid,..."
It's no more in deep-freeze than it was this time last week.
The support for Sibelius and Daniel Spreadbury's team is most impressive, but I'm afraid
the campaign is terribly badly focussed.
What's your evidence? And how is it stronger than statements released
by the Finn brothers?
A lot
of the "evidence" we're seeing is pure supposition.
So you have no evidence whatsoever.
A
clear statement was provided by the Finns which leaves very little to interpretation.
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Exalted Wombat
Joined: 06/02/10
Posts: 4220
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: johnny h]
#1001996 - 06/08/12 02:38 PM
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The Finns know no more about Avid's intentions than we do - they cashed in and walked away
from Sibelius 6 years ago.
Daniel is active on the Tech Support forum at this
very moment, sounding very much like an Avid employee.
For some time, it
could be said Avid had "outsourced" the engineering of Sibelius to London. They have
announced the intention of outsourcing it elsewhere.
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4TrackMadman
active member
Joined: 30/10/02
Posts: 1645
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#1002041 - 06/08/12 08:53 PM
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Who is stopping the Finns from doing another, better app?
That is what
ex-Cubase guys did with PreSonus Studio One and ex-Marshall guys did with Blackstar.
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narcoman
active member
Joined: 14/08/01
Posts: 8469
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#1002051 - 06/08/12 09:56 PM
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I'm going for fully enclosed within PT 11.
Bladder is right though.... avid
are cash focused and looking at exit strategies for the top brass....
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narcoman
active member
Joined: 14/08/01
Posts: 8469
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: Kwackman]
#1002052 - 06/08/12 10:00 PM
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Quote Kwackman:
Quote BJG145:
Given that Avid's
vice-president announced that the company was "deeply committed to developing Sibelius"
just two weeks ago, that sounds unlikely.
http://community.avid.com/blogs/avid/archive/2012/07/23/avids-commitment-t
o-sibelius.aspx?CommentPosted=true#
The statement in that link is a good example of marketing and
management bluff. No where in that statement does it say that Sibelius has a secure
future. It almost implies it might be merged into something else, but as usual in
these PR things, nothing is clear. It's a bit like the Prime Minister saying "Mr/Mrs
X has my full support" after Mr/MrsX has been accused of some dodgy going ons. Usually
there's a resignation along in a few days!
It very specifically does. Whether or not it's true of course
remains t'be seen
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The Red Bladder
Joined: 05/06/07
Posts: 2072
Loc: . ...
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: narcoman]
#1002213 - 07/08/12 04:51 PM
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Quote narcoman:
avid are cash
focused and looking at exit strategies for the top brass....
Depends what you mean by the top brass. The
CEO and his crew are pretty interchangeable. The owners want to get their money's worth
and that will be within the incredible collection of IP and how one realises the value of
that IP.
The problems are that Avid is losing market share in a market that
is declining anyway.
For the quarter ended June 30 (Q2), Avid missed
expectations on earnings per share. Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue shrank
slightly and loss per share increased. Gross margins shrank and net margins shrank. Avid
Technology reported revenue of $157.4 million. Sales were 2.4% lower than the prior-year
quarter's $161.3 million.
It is caught between giants Adobe and Apple on the
one side and small and agile companies like Cockos and Prosonus on the other, with the
budget market for media creation slipping out of their hands and the pro market going into
hands that are using disruptive technology - and that SUCs, i.e. they are using packages
that are Small, Unimportant and Cheap.
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tex
active member
Joined: 01/04/03
Posts: 1084
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#1002243 - 07/08/12 07:44 PM
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I understand the Red Bladder's post completely. With a little nerve it's easier to become
a millionaire than to live on the breadline. A litle knowledge sure is a dangerous
thing. But not for the guy who has the knowledge. I'm going out to make some
money out of you guys.
-------------------- Success is round the corner. It's also round the bend.
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4TrackMadman
active member
Joined: 30/10/02
Posts: 1645
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: The Red Bladder]
#1002267 - 07/08/12 10:37 PM
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Quote The Red Bladder:
Quote narcoman:
avid are cash
focused and looking at exit strategies for the top brass....
Depends what you mean by the top brass. The
CEO and his crew are pretty interchangeable. The owners want to get their money's worth
and that will be within the incredible collection of IP and how one realises the value of
that IP.
The problems are that Avid is losing market share in a market that
is declining anyway.
For the quarter ended June 30 (Q2), Avid missed
expectations on earnings per share. Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue shrank
slightly and loss per share increased. Gross margins shrank and net margins shrank. Avid
Technology reported revenue of $157.4 million. Sales were 2.4% lower than the prior-year
quarter's $161.3 million.
It is caught between giants Adobe and Apple on the
one side and small and agile companies like Cockos and Prosonus on the other, with the
budget market for media creation slipping out of their hands and the pro market going into
hands that are using disruptive technology - and that SUCs, i.e. they are using packages
that are Small, Unimportant and Cheap.
Especially considering that they also abandoned the hardware
approach for their Pro market. At least while they kept us locked with the hardware (our
studio had to spend $16,000 just so we can run barebones Pro Tools 6.5) we were loyal
customers whether we liked it or not. Avid is make huge headway on venue mixers though, so
I wouldn't say they're doing bad. All the venues in town are upgrading to their mixing a
light systems lately so that must be where the money is.
-------------------- www.descentintomadness.com
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Exalted Wombat
Joined: 06/02/10
Posts: 4220
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: 4TrackMadman]
#1002273 - 07/08/12 11:24 PM
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Quote 4TrackMadman:
Who is
stopping the Finns from doing another, better app?
That is what ex-Cubase guys
did with PreSonus Studio One and ex-Marshall guys did with Blackstar.
Too old, not hungry enough.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Re: Save Sibelius campaign
[Re: ChrisW]
#1002296 - 08/08/12 07:36 AM
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I just saw that Finale Notepad is free now (has been since February) http://www.finalemusic.com/notepad/default.aspxJust
saying.
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